When Cesar Blanco announced he was running for Texas Senate the media was quick to report that the El Paso Delegation supported Blanco's candidacy.
But there was - or better said IS - a problem.
Only SOME of the Delegation supports Blanco's candidacy.
Noticeably quiet is Lina Ortega and Jose Rodriguez.
Why?
Some have suggested that Ortega herself might want to run.
But the rumor is your County Commissioner David Stout wants the job.
Which would explain perfectly why Rodriguez and Ortega have been quiet.
Now, can Stout win?
Why not?
El Paso has elected and re-elected Spanish-speaking white dudes to represent her in Austin and Washington D.C.
But perhaps just as important, Stout has "paid his dues".
Not saying that is right or wrong, just saying that local party people generally prefer people who have skin in the local game.
Which does not bode well for Blanco
While Blanco is from El Paso, he is not OF El Paso.
You can run into Stout in El Paso, but you will not necessarily run into Blanco.
If Stout announces and it is just a Stout-Blanco race, I would consider Stout the favorite.
Now, what about Marisa Marquez?
I have not seen any statement from her saying "No."
As far as Escobar having endorsed Blanco...well, she has walked back an endorsement before. Remember when she endorsed Obama, but then flipped? Yea. What makes you think she would not flip on Blanco?