But is he running as though he wants to be a great Senator? No.
First of all, why doesn't Beto come out and say, "I am running for Senate."
He is leaving no one in suspense by saying, "Well, I am really really really like interested."
It is kind of too late for to say, "Nah, phuck it. Ain't gonna do it." Not only would he be a cooch for doing that, but then he would never ever hear the end of it from County Judge Veronica Escobar.
Don't tell me there is some secret strategy at play here.
Beto's work is cut out for him.
Which speaking of work, he is not making it any easier on himself.
All these recent unforced errors back at home, whether with the Chief Greg Allen or Transgendered-on-ICE, can come back to haunt him.
Then there is the fact Beto is making the rounds in Austin and the Rio Grande Valley.
Why? I do not know.
We all know voter turnout is lower in mid-term elections.
I know some are hoping President Donald Trump will increase "Resistance" turn out. But as they say about hope in one hand...
Look, if Beto wants to win, he will need to win over Republicans, not Democrats. If Beto wants to really to show people he is serious, he would be visiting Plano, Lubbock or Tyler.
But there might be a reason why Beto has to visit traditional Democratic strongholds.
Because ultimately the race would come down to a Hispanic dude vs a white guy. As fate would have it, the Hispanic dude is a right-wing Republican.
Latino Democratic leaders will not say it, but they would like to see Beto crash-and-burn. They would rather see one of their "own", in this case, one of the Castro twins, run and win statewide before some gringo from El Paso does.
Of course this would not be the first time, nor the last time, Democrats have phucked one of their own over.
"But, but, but Trump!"
Beto really cannot sell himself as anti-Trump given that his would-be opponent was, well, running against Trump.
So what does Beto need to do?
He needs to run as the businessman that he once was, not that Democratic backbencher that he is.
He needs to stop preaching to the choir in Austin or along the border instead...
Beto needs to go to Plano to talk about H-1B visas.
Beto needs to go to the Panhandle to talk agricultural exports.
Beto needs to go to East Texas to talk lumber exports.
There appears to be a lot of rumors about whether or not Oscar Leeser will run for Congress after all.
So for the purposes of this post, let us assume Leeser is NOT running for Congress.
That leaves County Judge Veronica Escobar as the shoe-in candidate.
Or does it?
As you probably have noticed, Congressman Beto O'Rourke and Escobar have been lately super best friends in public. Not that we did not know already that they are tighter than wedding day vagina, but still, now more than ever they been laying their public displays of political affection thick.
But those public displays of political support that those two are making have been unforced errors, i.e. El Paso PD Chief Allen, and Transgender-on-ICE arrest.
What is going on here?
You would think the political faction that controls the County, claims a sitting US Congressman, and controls and/or has agitators in all the right local non-profit and government boards would be more disciplined.
But they are not because they are scared.
Generally-speaking, when you are scared, you tend to make unforced errors.
So why are they scared?
O'Rourke is no friend of House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi. If you ask me, that is a feature not a flaw, however, that is a flaw if you want to get things done in D.C. unfortunately. So more than likely Escobar will not be able to count on or assume any Washington money will be pouring right into her campaign account.
Enter Cesar Blanco.
Blanco, who is a state legislator, may actually have more pull in D.C. than Beto.
Given his past his experience as a Congressional staffer, he can claim, unlike Escobar, that he does have more experience.
Also that same experience is what would help him raise more cash from D.C. than Escobar. El Paso cash? It will go the same way the D.C. cash goes. I cannot imagine for a second, Woody Hunt or Paul Foster, would want to donate money to a candidate who will start his or her Congressional career as persona non grata.
Oh, and Blanco being a veteran wanting to represent a military town certainly does not hurt.
And the fact Blanco has never voted to give himself a pay raise twice, or publicly suggest the reason why El Pasoans do not do certain things is because of lithium.
So what is to stop Blanco from running?
People, in this case Escobar and her friends, telling Blanco, "It's not your turn yet. You have to wait. Don't worry once Escobar is done serving in 20 years you can run!"
If Barack Obama "waited his turn", he probably would have never been president.
Jeb Bush "waited his turn", and will never be president
But more close to home, the "wait your turn" crowd was not exactly thinking "wait your turn" when Beto ran against Silvestre Reyes.
If Blanco were to announce that he is running for Congress, I am sure Leeser would not only slam the door shut on running for Congress, but would also donate to Blanco.
So the seat is there for Blanco to take...if he wants it.
Your County Judge, Veronica Escobar, is one who always loves to be at the center of attention.
Whether it is denouncing a popular police chief, or hugging our Mexican neighbors in probably the most secure area of the border to advocate wall tear downs, Escobar loves to be in front of a camera.
Most recently, she and Congressman Beto O'Rourke spent an entire day bashing ICE agents because they arrested a transgendered broad, who is an alleged victim of domestic violence.
Well come to find out that this alleged domestic violence victim is a scumbag.
Where is Vero now?
Oh, now she is "swamped".
If you wanted to bash ICE, it should have been for not catching the chick sooner.
But no one needed to be bashed.
I get it.
Trump is making you lose your shit, and reason why Trump makes you lose your shit is because Trump allegedly acts on impulse.
But if what Trump does is wrong, what makes you think doing it yourself is right?
Trump notwithstanding, Vero has had this knee-jerk impulse to show everyone that is she righteous, but this righteousness of hers MIGHT cost her a congressional seat.
Speaking of Congress, what the fuck Beto?
If Beto is going to run statewide, he needs to choose his battles more wisely.
This whole transgender-on-ICE thing was the wrong battle. Now, Beto is in explanation mode, which is only making what is a challenging task - running as a Democrat for US Senate in Texas - a bit more difficult.
Assuming Beto wants to run to win, why he feels compelled to shore-up his liberal credentials is beyond me.
So yes, El Paso, if you are having buyer's remorse on that arena, you can get a do-over.
But some on City Council do not want that.
City Representative Claudia Ordaz thinks democracy is "fiscally irresponsible."
Ordaz thinks spending $200,000 on a election is more fiscally irresponsible than spending $180 million to build an arena sans tenant. Again, that $180 million does not include all that maintenance costs you will be on the hook for.
Then there is City Representative Jim Tolbert who might be a bigger moron than Ordaz.
Tolbert is still carrying water for the folks who have already thrown his ass downstream.
"But the voters spoke in 2012!!!"
Five years ago, El Pasoans were in a different place.
Five years ago, El Paso Children's Hospital was solvent.
Five years ago, Susie Byrd kinda matter.
Five years ago...well, you get the picture.
Shite, you get vote to for a president every four years.
Why should you not a get do-over on a bond-item that was approved, but has not come to fruition in five years time?
If you build it, you might get lucky and this might be the worst-case scenario - Memphis.
Again, "might" and "lucky".
Maybe this just might be an opening for mayoral candidate Emma Acosta.
Acosta should ditch the arena, and run with this..."My opponent wants you to pay for an arena that you will not step foot in and only benefits his contracting and real estate friends. I rather spend that money on fixing the roads your drive on every morning and evening. We do not always have to live with our mistakes, we can correct them."
Per the El Paso Times, the City needs $45 million for "critical repairs" of your streets.
The City is about to spend $180 million to build a new arena.
Forgo the arena, and you have about $180 million for streets.
"But Max, the voters approved the money for arena not street repairs!"
Let say City Council says, "Phuck it. We are not building the arena."
What happens next?
Does the City get sued for not building the arena? And if so, by who?
Do City Representatives get re-called or lose their re-election campaigns because they are not going to piss away $180 million? Oh, the $180 million is a baseline number that does not include all the operational costs associated with maintaining the arena for years to come.
Is there anything in the City Charter that prohibits of voters from getting a do-over? If El Paso residents can re-call an elected official, why cannot it recall a bond item?
If the choice is to build an arena that you will likely never visit, or fix the road that you travel on daily, what would you choose?
Now that Susie Crow...err...Susie Byrdhas openly ditched City Representative Jim Tolbert in the comments section of David K's blog, I figure why not try help the man out.
Byrd dumping Tolbert is probably the best thing to happen to Tolbert.
Tolbert no longer has to pretend to like things he does not.
So what does Tolbert need to do?
Tolbert is kinda of an envirofascist, but oddly enough, he has been kinda of disappointing envirofascist.
If there was a time for Tolbert to embrace his inner Captain Planet, it is now
There was this old environmentalist mantra, "Reduce, Reuse and Recycle."
What Tolbert needs to focus on "Reduce".
The idea behind "reduce" is if you are not buying shit you do not need, you are actually helping the environment.
In the case of the downtown arena, the City is buying shit it does not need.
Any time the City wants to spend something on shit it does not need, Tolbert should think, "They are phucking with Gaia. Now I'm gonna phuck with them."
Tolbert just needs to come out guns blazing like as though someone did not invite him to eat steak- "I was wrong, I was wrong to think that tax-and-spend people like Susie Byrd and Veronica Escobar had El Paso's interests at heart, when in fact they care only about themselves. I regret associating with these people. They are very self-absorbed, racist people..." I could go on, but at that point I am working for a steak.